Update on This Winter's Weather

    Right now it looks like we will be moving towards a weak El Nino this winter, particularly during the later portion (January through March).  Thus, the initial portion of the winter will be "near neutral," meaning neither El Nino nor La Nina conditions will be evident.  Such winter periods tend to be stormier than normal.  There is no physical reason to expect another dry winter.
   In summary, I believe there is a significant chance of stronger windstorms and periods of heavy rain...unlike the past year--which was very dull and dry.