USWRP Regional Real-Time NWP Workshop

 

Day 1:  Thursday, 11 December

 

 8:30-8:40 AM Welcome (Bob Gall).  Introduction.  Purpose of Meeting.(Cliff Mass)

 

 Session 1:  Current Status

 

8:40-9:15        Review Talk:  Regional Real-Time NWP in the U.S.,

Cliff Mass, University of Washington.

 

9:15-10:15       Presentations  (15 minutes each) on local NWP efforts.

 

The Penn State Realtime MM5 System.  Glenn Hunter and Dave Stauffer, Penn. State

 

Real-time modeling and data collection here at NPS.  Doug Miller, NPS

 

Validation of the NCEP MSM Coupled with an Advanced LSM over the Hawaiian Islands:  Yi-Leng Chen, Y. Zhang, S.-Y. Hong, K. Kodama, and H.-M. H. Juang

 

The Northwest Regional Environmental Prediction System.  Richard Steed, Cliff Mass, University of Washington

 

10:15-10:45     Break

 

Real-time NWP at SUNY Stony Brook and Interactions with the National Weather Service.  Brian Colle, SUNY Stony Brook

 

Real-time NWP at CAPS.  Dan Weber and Keith Brewster, CAPS, Univ. of Oklahoma

 

MM5 and Mesowest:  Real-time Prediction and Data Collection at the University of Utah.  Jim Steenburgh and John Horel, Universiy of Utah

 

"Integration of Local Data for High-Resolution Diagnostics and Numerical

Weather Prediction to support the U.S. Space Program".  John Case, ENSCO/NASA

 

Regional prediction in the US Air Force. Wegiel Jerry.  Air Force Weather Agency

 

 12:00-1:00       Lunch

 

Real-time operation of mesoscale and cloud scale data assimilation and NWP for DOD.  Yubao Liu, RAP.

 

Real-time Wind Energy Prediction Using the MM5 and Neural Nets: Kirstin Larson.  3-Tier Corporation.

 

Realtime rapidly relocatable nowcast/prediction system for the US Army (MMS-Profiler);  David Stauffer, Penn. State.

 

Session 2:   The NWS Distributed Local-area Modeling Study

 

1:45-2:05         Overview of the National Weather Service Distributed Modeling Evaluation:  Nelson Seaman, NWS/Penn. State.

 

2:05-2:20         4-km Real-Time WRF at the Jacksonville NWS Office:  Brent Shaw, FSL.

 

2:20-2:30         Discussion

 

Session 3:  Regional Consortia

 

2:30-2:55         USDA Forest Service Modeling Consortia:  An Overview.  Sue Ferguson

 

2:55-3:05         Eastern Area Modeling Consortium;  Joseph Charney, US Forest Service

 

3:05-3:25         Break

 

3:25-3:40         Funding and Organization of the NW Modeling Consortium

 

3:40-3:50         Discussion

 

Session 4:  What is the Role of Regional NWP?  Does it make sense?

 

 3:50-4:30         Invited Presentations: 10 minutes each

 

                         NWS Perspective:  Geoff DiMego, NCEP

 

                         Military Perspective:  Richard Hodur

 

                         University Perspective:  Cliff Mass. University of WA

 

                         Private Sector Perspective:  George Modica, AER

 

 4:30-4:50         Group Discussion

 

Session 5:      WRF Status and Its Applicability to Regional NWP

 

4:50-5:05         WRF status report.  Joe Klemp, NCAR

 

5:05-5:20         Explicit prediction of convection using WRF:  Results from BAMEX.  Chris Davis, NCAR.

 

5:20-6:30         Ice Breaker and Reception

 

Day 2: Friday, 12 December

 

Session 5:   Regional Mesoscale Data Collection

 

8:30-8:50         Review by Walt Dabberdt of the comments/findings from the mesoscale data workshop on the role of regional efforts.

 

8:50-9:00         Discussion

 

Session 6:  Panel Discussion 2:  High Resolution Vs. Ensembles

 

9:00     High-resolution versus ensembles:  What is the correct balance for regional real-time prediction?

 

Panelists: Paul Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin; Steve Koch, FSL; Warren Blier (NWS, Monterey):  10 minutes each for comments

 

9:30-10:00  Group Discussion

 

10:00-10:20     Break

 

Session 7: Specific-Issue Breakout Groups

 

10:20-12:00      Participants can circulate among groups (30 minutes at a time, 3 sessions, 5 minute breaks between).  The chairman of each group remains and will summarize the views later.

 

 Group 1:  What is the optimal relationship between regional NWP and national centers?  How  should they be connected with the USWRP?

 

 Group 2:  How should regional centers be managed and funded?  How can their permanence and viability be enhanced?  How should they relate to the private sector?

 

 Group 3:  What should be included in a regional NWP center?  Should there be a research component?  How should they relate to local communities and users? Should they include other types of environmental prediction models?

 

 12:00-1:15      Lunch

 

Session 8:  Breakout Group Summaries

 

1:15-2:30         Session Chair Reports (15 minutes presentation, 10 minute discussion)

 

2:30-3:30        Plenary Discussion of major issues.  Should we recommend regional prediction?  What are our major conclusions?  What should be the next steps? Writing responsibilities for workshop report

 

3:30     Workshop End