USWRP Regional Real-Time NWP Workshop

 

Day 1:  Thursday, 11 December

 

 8:15-8:30 AM Welcome (Bob Gall).  Introduction.  Purpose of Meeting (Cliff Mass)

 

 Session 1:  Current Status

 

8:30-9:00        Review Talk:  Regional Real-Time NWP in the U.S.,

Cliff Mass, University of Washington.

 

9:00-10:00       Presentations  (12 minutes each, 10 min talk, 2 min discussion) on local NWP efforts.

 

The Penn State Realtime MM5 System.  Glenn Hunter and Dave Stauffer, Penn. State

 

Real-time modeling and data collection here at NPS.  Doug Miller, NPS

 

Validation of the NCEP MSM Coupled with an Advanced LSM over the Hawaiian Islands:  Yi-Leng Chen, Y. Zhang, S.-Y. Hong, K. Kodama, and H.-M. H. Juang

 

The Northwest Regional Environmental Prediction System.  Richard Steed, Cliff Mass, University of Washington

 

Real-time NWP at SUNY Stony Brook and Interactions with the National Weather Service.  Brian Colle, SUNY Stony Brook

 

10:00-10:30     Break

 

Real-time NWP at CAPS.  Dan Weber, CAPS, Univ. of Oklahoma

 

MM5 and Mesowest:  Real-time Prediction and Data Collection at the University of Utah.  Jim Steenburgh and John Horel, Universiy of Utah

 

Integration of Local Data for High-Resolution Diagnostics and Numerical

Weather Prediction to support the U.S. Space Program.  John Case, ENSCO/NASA

 

Regional prediction in the US Air Force. Wegiel Jerry.  Air Force Weather Agency

 

Real-time mesoscale data assimilation and prediction for the Los Angeles Basin.  Michael McAtee, The Aerospace Corporation

 

Regional real-time NWP  at the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS):  using satellite observations to add value.  Robert Aune, NOAA, NESDIS

 

The impact of satellite data assimilation on MM5 forecasts for Hawaii. Tiziana Cherubini, University of Hawaii

 

 12:00-1:00       Lunch

 

Session 1 Continued

 

Real-time environmental NWP at the Southeast Center for Mesoscale Environemntal Prediction. John McHenry, North Carolina Supercomputer Center/Baron Service.

 

Real-time operation of mesoscale and cloud scale data assimilation and NWP for DOD.  Yubao Liu, RAP.

 

Realtime rapidly relocatable nowcast/prediction system for the US Army (MMS-Profiler);  David Stauffer, Penn. State.

 

Real-time Wind Energy Prediction Using the MM5 and Neural Nets: Kirstin Larson.  3-Tier Corporation.

 

Session 2:  Access to Grids at NCEP and other National Centers

 

1:50-2:05         CONDUIT and FTP Access to NWP girds:  How is it working? Speaker TBA

 

2:05-2:20         Discussion.  The grid access problem:  how can we address it?

 

Session 3:   The NWS Distributed Local-area Modeling Study

 

2:20-2:40         Overview of the National Weather Service Distributed Modeling Evaluation:  Nelson Seaman, NWS/Penn. State.

 

2:40-2:52         4-km Real-Time WRF at the Jacksonville NWS Office:  Brent Shaw, FSL.

 

2:52-3:05         Discussion

 

3:05-3:30         Break

 

Session 4:  Regional Consortia

 

3:30-3:50         USDA Forest Service Modeling Consortia:  An Overview.  Sue Ferguson

 

3:50-4:00         Eastern Area Modeling Consortium;  Joseph Charney, US Forest Service

 

4:00-4:10         Funding and Organization of the NW Modeling Consortium;  Cliff Mass, UW

 

4:10-4:20         Discussion

 

Session 5:  What is the Role of Regional NWP?  Does it make sense?

 

 4:20-5:00         Invited Presentations: 10 minutes each

 

                         NWS Perspective:  Geoff DiMego, NCEP

 

                         Military Perspective:  Richard Hodur

 

                         University Perspective:  Cliff Mass. University of WA

 

                         Private Sector Perspective:  George Modica, AER

 

5:00-5:20         Group Discussion

 

5:20-6:30         Ice Breaker and Reception

 

Day 2: Friday, 12 December

 

Session 6:      WRF Status and Its Applicability to Regional NWP

 

8:15-8:30         WRF status report.  Chris Davis, NCAR

 

8:30-8:45         Explicit prediction of convection using WRF:  Results from BAMEX.  Chris Davis, NCAR.

 

8:45-9:00         Discussion:  Is WRF ready for the real-time community?

 

Session 7:   Regional Mesoscale Data Collection

 

9:00-9:15         Review by Walt Dabberdt of the comments/findings from the mesoscale data workshop on the role of regional efforts.

 

9:15-9:25         Discussion

 

Session 8:  Panel Discussion 2:  High Resolution Vs. Ensembles for Regional Real-time NWP

 

9:25     High-resolution versus ensembles:  What is the correct balance for regional real-time prediction?

 

Panelists: Paul Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin; Steve Koch, FSL; Warren Blier (NWS, Monterey):  10 minutes each for comments

 

9:55-10:15  Group Discussion

 

10:15-10:40     Break

 

Session 7: Specific-Issue Breakout Groups

 

10:40-12:10      Participants can circulate among groups (25 minutes at a time, 3 sessions, 5 minute breaks between).  The chairman of each group remains and will summarize the views later.

 

 Group 1:  What is the optimal relationship between regional NWP and national centers?  How  should they be connected with the USWRP?

 

 Group 2:  How should regional centers be managed and funded?  How can their permanence and viability be enhanced?  How should they relate to the private sector?

 

 Group 3:  What should be included in a regional NWP center?  Should there be a research component?  How should they relate to local communities and users? Should they include other types of environmental prediction models?  Chair:  Brad Colman, NWS

 

 12:10-1:30      Lunch

 

Session 8:  Breakout Group Summaries

 

1:30-2:50         Session Chair Reports (15 minutes presentation, 10 minute discussion)

 

2:50-3:30        Plenary Discussion of major issues.  Should we recommend regional prediction?  What are our major conclusions?  What should be the next steps? Writing responsibilities for workshop report

 

3:30     Workshop End