Friday, 2 March

8:30-8:45 Welcome and announcements

Session I: NWS Update

8:45-9:00 Where are we after the Modernization? Chris Hill, Meteorologist In Charge, NWS, Seattle

9:00-9:15 Tests of a Higher Resolution NW Domain Eta model. Tom Black, NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

Session II: Wildfire Meteorology

9:15-9:30 Developing experimental fire weather products with a graphical forecast editor. Chris Gibson, NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

9:30-9:45 SPC fire weather program. Richard Naden, NCEP/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

9:45-10:00 Bobcat Gulch Fire: A Meteorological and Fire Behavior overview. Timothy Mathewson, et al.

10:00-10:30 BREAK

10:30-11:00 Panel Discussion:  Now that the Modernization is complete...what should be next?

Session II:  Wildfire Meteorology (Continued)

11:00-11:15 Meteorological Support during the 2000 Cerro Grande Fire in and around Los Alamos, NM, and Los Alamos National Laboratory. Jeff Baars, Terabeam, and George Fenton, Los Alamos National Laboratory.

11:15-11:30 The Association Between Mid-Tropospheric Circulation Anomalies and the Area Burned by Wildfire in the American NW. Ze'ev Gedalof, Climate Impacts Group, UW

11:30-11:45 The 2000 Fire Season: Assessing Lightning Risk. Miriam Rorig and Sue Ferguson

11:45-12:00 An Investigation into Lightning Behavior over Southern British Columbia. Brad Synder, Meteorological Services of Canada

12:00-1:30 LUNCH

Session III: AIRPACT Program and Air Quality

1:30-1:45 A Brief Overview of the AIRPACT Program. Rob Wilson, EPA, et al.

1:45-2:00 A Real-Time Air Quality Forecasting System for the AIRPACT Program. Joe Vaughan, WSU, et al.

2:00-2:15 The Northwest Regional Technical Demonstration Project.  Susan O'Neil et al., WSU

2:15-2:30 Observations of Ozone Profiles over Eastern Washington During the Spring of 2000. Jerome Fast, et al., Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

2:30-3:45 Poster Session and Refreshments

    Simulation of Ozone Formation and Transport in the Puget Sound Region. Guangfeng Jiang, et al.

    Using the CP3 Modeling System to Predict PM-10 Concentrations During the September 1999 Dust Storm Event on the Columbia Plateau. Tara Strand, et al.

    Development of a Regional Smoke Modeling System for Agricultural Air Quality. Candis Claiborn, et al.

    The Vertical Distribution of Nighttime Smoke Following a Wildland Biomass fire in Boreal Alaska. Julia Rutherford and Sue Ferguson

    Measuring Moss Moisture Dynamics to Predict Fire Safety. Julia Rutherford and Sue Ferguson

    Evaluation of a Mesoscale Atmospheric Model to Initialize Hydrologic Models in Mountainous Terrain.  Mark Morehead, USDA, Northwest Watershed Research Center,
    and Paul Dawson, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Boise State University, Boise, ID

    River and flood information dissemination system for emergency managers and public users. William Schneider, and Andy Bryant, NWS, Portland, OR

    A survey of the characteristics of river flooding in western Washington. Doug McDonnal, NWS, Seattle, and Victor.

    Marine weather of British Columbia on a CD-ROM. Owen Lange

    Maritime Analysis of Pre-Frontal Thickness Gradients:  Matching a Thermal Wind Application with Quasi-Geostrophic Flow.  Jim B. Truitt, NWS, Juneau, AK

    Forecasting coastal flooding and tidal overflow. Chris Burke, NWS, Seattle

    Variations in snow depth and stream flow in the Pacific Northwest and their relationship to Pacific Basin climate variability. Mote, Hamlet, and Mantua

    Twenty-first Century Snow in the PNW. Hamlet and Mote

    Results of AWIPS Validation Effort at COMET. Kevin Fuell, Comet

    Rocketsonde Buoy System. Roland Stull, UBC

    Major findings from the CALJET project. Louisa Nance, ETL, Boulder, CO

    Role of the low-level jet in heavy coastal precipitation. Louisa Nance, ETL, Boulder, CO
 

Session III: Continued

3:45-4:00 Smoke Dispersion Forecasting and Air Quality Monitoring in Montana and Idaho During Fire Season 2000. David Levinson and Ann Acheson

4:00-4:15 Bluesky: A Real-Time Smoke Modeling System. Sue Ferguson and Tim Allen

4:15-4:30 Forecasting Ground-Level Ozone in the Lower Fraser Valley of British Columbia. Edward Lord, Pacific Weather Center

4:30-4:45 The Columbia Basin Cold Pool and its Impact on Dispersion.  Shiyuan Zhong, C. D. Whiteman, and X. Bian, PNNL

4:45-5:00 Modeled Downward Transport of a Passive Tracer over Western North America During an Asian Dust Event in April 1998. Joshua Hacker, University of British Columbia
 

Workshop Banquet:
Location:   Ramada Inn, Northgate.  Located west of I-5 near the Mall at 2140 Northgate Way.

6:00 to 7:00 PM:   Icebreaker cash bar

7:00 PM:  Buffet Dinner Menu:
          house salad and pasta salad
          Baked halibut and stuffed chicken breast
          garlic mashed potatoes and seasonal vegetables
          warm bread and butter
          brownie with hot chocolate sauce and whipped cream
          coffee and tea

8:00 PM:  Invited Presentation

"Media Portrayal of Wildfire Science:  Expert Sources, General Assignment Reporters and Conventional News Values"

        Conrad Smith, Ph.D.
        Professor and Chair, Communication and Mass Media Department
        University of Wyoming, Laramie
 

Saturday, 3 March

Session IV: Regional Radar and Precipitation Studies

8:00-8:15 A Simple Moisture Flux Model for Estimating Precipitation. Hayes et al., UW

8:15-8:30 Rivers: a tool for viewing real-time hydrologic observations, forecasts, and metadata at WFO Seattle. Doug McDonnal, NWS, Seattle

8:30-8:45 Sources of uncertainties in rainfall mapping with precipitation radar. Sandra Yuter, UW

8:45-9:00 The January 4-5, 2001, Rainstorm: Sensitivity of Radar-derived Precipitation Amounts to Bright Band Corrections. Robert Nissen and David Hutchinson, Meteorological Services Canada

9:00-9:15 Development of a WSR-88D Based Precipitation Accumulation Algorithm for Quantitative Precipitation Estimates over Northwest Oregon. Hartzell et al., USDI

9:15-9:30 Extreme precipitation events on the West Coast. Brad Colman, NWS, Seattle.

9:30-10:00 BREAK

Session V: Regional Modeling and Data Assimilation

10:00-10:15 Geophysical Disaster Computational Fluid Dynamics Centre. Roland Stull, et al.

10:15-10:30 Emergency Weather Net -- BC. Roland Stull and Trina Cannon

10:30-10:45 Update on the UW Regional MM5 Prediction System

10:45-11:00 Initial Results of a Mesoscale Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting System over the Pacific Northwest

11:00-11:15 The Northwest Coupled Hydrometeorological Prediction System. Westrick and Storck

11:15-11:30 The Washington State Department of Transportation/University of Washington Road and Weather Information System: Description of the Road Temperature Prediction System Rick Steed, Clifford Mass, and Mark Maciver, UW

Session VII: Regional Weather Features

11:30-11:45 Modeling Flow in the Columbia Gorge: Initial Results. Justin Sharp

11:45-12:00  Winter Precipitation along the east slopes of the Cascades. Ron Miller, NWS, Spokane

12:00-1:15 Lunch

Session VII: Regional Weather Features (Continued)

1:15-1:30 A Study of Trough Timing Errors over the Eastern Pacific Ocean. Brian Colle and Cliff Mass

1:30-1:45 An Observational Study of Cold Pools in the Columbia Basin. Jon Mittelstadt, et al., NWS, Pendleton, OR

Session VI: Northwest Field Experiments

1:45-2:00 The IMPROVE Field Experiment: Review and Initial Results. Mark Stoelinga, UW et al.

2:00-2:15 Research aircraft observations of an intense low-level jet accompanying a storm along the Oregon coast. Bond and Walter

2:15-2:30 An update on the PACJET project. Louisa Nance, ETL, Boulder, CO

2:30-3:00 BREAK

Session VIII: Future Northwest Climate

3:00-3:15 Northwest Climate in the Distant Future:  Comparing the Climates of the 20^th and 21^st Centuries. Philip Mote, Climate Impacts Group

3:15-4:00 Panel Discussion: Global Warming and Future Northwest Weather. What do we really know? What actions should we take?

Panel Members:  Philip Mote, UW, CHAIR; Jeff Renner, KING 5 TV; KC Golden, City of Seattle; Blair Henry, Northwest Council on Climate Change

4:00 Closing Remarks