Atmospheric Sciences 571

Advanced Physical Climatology

Autumn 1995 Readings for in-class Discussion

1. Trends in the instrumental records

Karl, T. R., Jones, P. D., Knight, R. W., Kukla, G., Plummer, N., Razuvayev, V., Gallo, K. P., Lindseay, J., Charlson, R. J. and Peterson, T. C., 1993: Asymmetric trends of daily maximum and minimum temperature. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 1007-1023.

2. Absorption of Solar Radiation in clouds:

Cess, R. D., M. H. Zhang, P. Minnis, L. Corsetti, E. G. Dutton, B. W. Forgan, D. P. Garber, W. L. Gates, J. J. Hack, E. F. Harrison, X. Jing, J. T. Kiehl, C. N. Long, J.-J. Morcrette, G. L. Potter, V. Ramanathan, B. Subasilar, C. H. Whitlock, D. F. Young and Y. Zhou, 1995: Absorption of solar radiation by clouds: Observations versus models. Science, 267, 496-499.

Ramanathan, V., B. Subasilar, G. J. Zhang, W. Conant, R. D. Cess, J. T. Kiehl, H. Grassl and L. Shi, 1995: Warm pool heat budget and shortwave cloud forcing: A missing physics? Science, 267, 499-503.

Pilewskie, P. and F. P. Valero, 1995: Direct observations of excess solar absorption by clouds. Science, 267, 1626-1629.

3. Sensitivity studies with GCM's

Kiehl, J. T., J. J. Hack, M. H. Zhang and R. D. Cess, 1995: Sensitivity of a GCM climate to enhanced shortwave cloud absorption. J. Climate, 8, 2200-2212.

Knutson, T. R. and S. Manabe, 1995: Time-mean response over the tropical Pacific to increased CO2 in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Climate, 8, 2181-2199.

4. Response to Volcanoes

Hansen, J., et al., 1995: A Pinatubo climate modeling investigation. The Effects of Mt. Pinatubo Eruption on the Atmosphere and Climate. G. Fiocco, D. Fua and G. Visconti, Eds., Springer-Verlag, (I have preprint)

5. Causes of instrumental climate trends

Karl, T. P., R. W. Knight, G. Kukla and J. Gavin, 1995: Evidence for radiative effects of anthropogenic sulfate aerosols in the observed climate record. Aerosol Forcing of Climate. R. J. Charlson and J. Heintzenberg, Eds., John Wiley & Sons, 363-382.

Hansen, J., M. Sato and R. Ruedy, 1995: Long-term changes of the diurnal temperature cycle: Implications about mechanisms of global climate change. Atmos. Res., 37, 175-209.

6. Transient response to greenhouse warming

Murphy, J. M., 1995: Transient response of the Hadley Centre coupled Ocean-atmosphere model to increasing carbon dioxide. Part I: Control climate and flux adjustment. J. Climate, 8, 36-56.

Murphy, J. M. and J. F. B. Mitchell, 1995: Transient response of the Hadley Centre coupled Ocean-atmosphere model to increasing carbon dioxide. Part II: Spatial and temporal structure of response. J. Climate, 8, 57-80.

Dutton, J. A., 1995: An analytical model of atmospheric feedback and global temperature change. J. Climate, 8, 1122-1139.

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Charlson, R. J., S. E. Schwartz, J. M. Hales, R. D. Cess, J. A. Coakley, J. E. Hansen and D. J. Hofmann, 1992: Climate Forcing by Antropogenic Aerosols. Science, 255, 423-430.

0. Tectonics and Climate Evolution

Raymo, M. E. and W. F. Ruddiman, 1992: Tectonic forcing of late Cenozoic Climate. Nature, 359, 117-122.

3. Continental Uplift and the Indian Monsoon

Molnar, P., P. England and J. Martinod, 1993: Mantle dynamics, the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau, and the Indian monsoon. Rev. Geophys., 31, 357-396.

Prell, W. L., D. W. Murray, S. C. Clemens and D. M. Anderson, 1992: Evolution and variability of the Indian summer monsoon: Evidence from the western Arabian Sea drilling program. Synthesis of results from Scientific Drilling in the Indian Ocean. 70, R. A. Duncan, D. K. Rea, R. B. Kidd, U. von Rad and J. K. Weissel, Eds., American Geophysical Union, 447-469.

Diurnal Temperature Cycle

Manabe, S. and R. J. Stouffer, 1994: Multiple-century response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Climate, 7, 5-23.

1. Temperature Trends.

2. The "Thermostat" hypothesis: Chapters 2 and 3

Ramanathan, V. and Collins, W., 1991: Thermodynamic regulation of ocean warming by cirrus clouds deduced from the 1987 el Niño. Nature, 351, 27-32.

Hartmann, D. L. and Michelsen, M. L., 1993: Large-scale effects on the regulation of tropical sea surface temperature. J. Climate, 6, 2049-2062.

Lau, K.-M., Sui, C.-H., Chou, M.-D. and Tao, W.-K., 1994: An inquiry into the cirrus-cloud thermostat effect for tropical sea-surface temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 21, 1157-1160.

Pierrehumbert, R. T., 1995: Thermostats, radiator fins and the local runaway greenhouse. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, submitted.

3. Cloud Modeling in GCM's: A source of uncertainty Chapter 10

Cess, R. D., et al., 1990: Intercomparison and interpretation of climate feedback processes in seventeen atmospheric general circulation models. J. Geophys. Res., 95, 16,601-16,615.

4. Boundary Layers in climate models: A source of uncertainty Chapters 4 and 10.

Randall, D., Cess, R. D., Blanchet, J. P., Boer, G. J., Dazlich, D. A., Del Genio, A. D., Deque, M., Dymnikov, V., Galin, V., Ghan, S. J., Lacis, A. A., Le Treut, H., Li, Z.-X., Liang, X.-Z., McAvaney, B. J., Meleshko, V. P., Mitchell, J. F. B., Morcrette, J.-J., Potter, G. L., Rikus, L., Roeckner, E., Royer, J. F., Schlese, U., Sheinin, D. A., Slingo, J., Sokolov, A. P., Taylor, K. E., Washington, W. M., Wetherald, R. T., Yagai, I. and Zhang, M.-H., 1992: Intercomparison and interpretation of surface energy fluxes in atmospheric general circulation models. J. Geophys. Res., 97, 3711-3724.

5. Heinrich Events: Chapters 7 and 8

Broecker, W. S., Bond, G., Klas, M., Clark, E. and McManus, J., 1992: Origin of the northern Atlantic's Heinrich events. Clim. Dyn., 6, 265-273.

Bond, G., Broecker, W., Johnsen, S., McManus, J., Labeyrie, L., Jouzel, J. and Bonani, G., 1993: Correlations between climate records from North Atlantic sediments and Greenland ice. Nature, 365, 143-147.

6. Coral Heads and Tropical SST: Chapters 7 and 8

Beck, J. W., R. L. Edwards, D. Ito, F. Taylor, J. Recy, F. Rougerie, P. Joannot and C. Henin, 1992: Sea-surface temperature from coral skeletal strontioum/calcium ratios. Science, 257, 644-647.

Guilderson, T. P., R. G. Fairbanks and J. L. Rubenstone, 1994: Tropical temperature variations since 20,000 years ago: Modulating interhemispheric climate change. ScienceScience, 263, 663-665.7.

Stute, M., M. Forster, H. Frischkorn, A. Serejo, J. F. Clark, P. Schlosser, W. S. Broecker and G. Bonani, 1995: Cooling of tropical Brazil (5_C) during the last glacial maximum. Science, 269, 379-383.

Villiers, S., B. K. Nelson and A. R. Chivas, 1995: Biological controls on coral Sr/Ca and d18O reconstructions of sea surface temperature. Science, 269, 1247-1249.

7. Lateral Heat Transports in the Atmosphere and Ocean: Chapters 6 and 7

Trenberth, K. E. and A. Solomon, 1994: The global heat balance: Heat transports in the atmosphere and ocean. Climate Dyn., 10, 107-134.

8. Surface Moisture Budgets and Climate

Milly, P. C. D., 1992: Potential evaporation and soil moisture in general circulation models. J. Climate, 5, 209-226.

Milly, P. C. D. and K. A. Dunne, 1994: Sensitivity of the global water cycle to the water holding capacity of land. J. Climate, 7, 506-526.

9. Response of Soil Moisture to Carbon Dioxide Doubling. (Chaps. 4 &12)

Manabe, S. and R. T. Wetherald, 1987: Large scale changes in soil wetness induced by an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 1211-1235.

10. Coupled Models and the Thermohaline Catastrophe (Chaps. 7, 8 & 11)

Manabe, S. and R. J. Stouffer, 1988: Two stable equilibria of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Climate, 1, 841-866.

11. Transient Response of Coupled Models to Carbon Dioxide Doubling. (Chaps. 7 &12)

Manabe, S. and R. J. Stouffer, 1994: Multiple-century response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Climate, 7, 5-23.

12. Recent Trends in Snowcover and Temperature (Chaps. 9 & 12)

Groisman, P. Y., T. R. Karl and R. W. Knight, 1994: Observed impact of snow cover on the heat balance and the rise of continental spring temperatures. Science, 263, 198-200.

13. Fingerprinting (Chap. 12)

Schneider, S. H., 1994: Detecting climatic change signals: Are there any fingerprints? Science, 263, 341-347.

14. Modeling, What good is it? (Chaps. 10 & 12)

Oreskes, N., K. Schrader-Frechette and K. Belitz, 1994: Verification, Validation, and confirmation of numerical models in the earth sciences. Science, 263, 641-646.