USWRP Regional Real-Time NWP Workshop

Day 1: Thursday, 11 December

8:15-8:30 AM Welcome (Bob Gall). Introduction. Purpose of Meeting (Cliff Mass)

Session 1: Current Status

8:30-9:00 Review Talk: Regional Real-Time NWP in the U.S.,

Cliff Mass, University of Washington.

9:00-10:00 Presentations (12 minutes each, 10 min talk, 2 min discussion) on local NWP efforts.

The Penn State Realtime MM5 System. Glenn Hunter and Dave Stauffer, Penn. State

Real-time modeling and data collection here at NPS. Doug Miller, NPS

Validation of the NCEP MSM Coupled with an Advanced LSM over the Hawaiian Islands: Yi-Leng Chen, Y. Zhang, S.-Y. Hong, K. Kodama, and H.-M. H. Juang

The Northwest Regional Environmental Prediction System. Richard Steed, Cliff Mass, University of Washington

Real-time NWP at SUNY Stony Brook and Interactions with the National Weather Service. Brian Colle, SUNY Stony Brook

10:00-10:30 Break

Real-time NWP at CAPS. Dan Weber, CAPS, Univ. of Oklahoma

MM5 and Mesowest: Real-time Prediction and Data Collection at the University of Utah. Jim Steenburgh and John Horel, Universiy of Utah

Integration of Local Data for High-Resolution Diagnostics and Numerical

Weather Prediction to support the U.S. Space Program. John Case, ENSCO/NASA

Regional prediction in the US Air Force. Wegiel Jerry. Air Force Weather Agency

Real-time mesoscale data assimilation and prediction for the Los Angeles Basin. Michael McAtee, The Aerospace Corporation

Regional real-time NWP at the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS): using satellite observations to add value. Robert Aune, NOAA, NESDIS

The impact of satellite data assimilation on MM5 forecasts for Hawaii. Tiziana Cherubini, University of Hawaii

12:00-1:00 Lunch

Session 1 Continued

Real-time environmental NWP at the Southeast Center for Mesoscale Environemntal Prediction. John McHenry, North Carolina Supercomputer Center/Baron Service.

Real-time operation of mesoscale and cloud scale data assimilation and NWP for DOD. Yubao Liu, RAP.

Realtime rapidly relocatable nowcast/prediction system for the US Army (MMS-Profiler); David Stauffer, Penn. State.

Real-time Wind Energy Prediction Using the MM5 and Neural Nets: Kirstin Larson. 3-Tier Corporation.

Session 2: Access to Grids at NCEP and other National Centers

1:50-2:05 CONDUIT and FTP Access to NWP girds: How is it working? Speaker TBA

2:05-2:20 Discussion. The grid access problem: how can we address it?

Session 3: The NWS Distributed Local-area Modeling Study

2:20-2:40 Overview of the National Weather Service Distributed Modeling Evaluation: Nelson Seaman, NWS/Penn. State.

2:40-2:52 4-km Real-Time WRF at the Jacksonville NWS Office: Brent Shaw, FSL.

2:52-3:05 Discussion

3:05-3:30 Break

Session 4: Regional Consortia

3:30-3:50 USDA Forest Service Modeling Consortia: An Overview. Sue Ferguson

3:50-4:00 Eastern Area Modeling Consortium; Joseph Charney, US Forest Service

4:00-4:10 Funding and Organization of the NW Modeling Consortium; Cliff Mass, UW

4:10-4:20 Discussion

Session 5: What is the Role of Regional NWP? Does it make sense?

4:20-5:00 Invited Presentations: 10 minutes each

NWS Perspective: Geoff DiMego, NCEP

Military Perspective: Richard Hodur

University Perspective: Cliff Mass. University of WA

Private Sector Perspective: George Modica, AER

5:00-5:20 Group Discussion

5:20-6:30 Ice Breaker and Reception

Day 2: Friday, 12 December

Session 6: WRF Status and Its Applicability to Regional NWP

8:15-8:30 WRF status report. Chris Davis, NCAR

8:30-8:45 Explicit prediction of convection using WRF: Results from BAMEX. Chris Davis, NCAR.

8:45-9:00 Discussion: Is WRF ready for the real-time community?

Session 7: Regional Mesoscale Data Collection

9:00-9:15 Review by Walt Dabberdt of the comments/findings from the mesoscale data workshop on the role of regional efforts.

9:15-9:25 Discussion

Session 8: Panel Discussion 2: High Resolution Vs. Ensembles for Regional Real-time NWP

9:25 High-resolution versus ensembles: What is the correct balance for regional real-time prediction?

Panelists: Paul Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin; Steve Koch, FSL; Warren Blier (NWS, Monterey): 10 minutes each for comments

9:55-10:15 Group Discussion

10:15-10:40 Break

Session 7: Specific-Issue Breakout Groups

10:40-12:10 Participants can circulate among groups (25 minutes at a time, 3 sessions, 5 minute breaks between). The chairman of each group remains and will summarize the views later.

Group 1: What is the optimal relationship between regional NWP and national centers? How should they be connected with the USWRP?

Group 2: How should regional centers be managed and funded? How can their permanence and viability be enhanced? How should they relate to the private sector?

Group 3: What should be included in a regional NWP center? Should there be a research component? How should they relate to local communities and users? Should they include other types of environmental prediction models? Chair: Brad Colman, NWS

12:10-1:30 Lunch

Session 8: Breakout Group Summaries

1:30-2:50 Session Chair Reports (15 minutes presentation, 10 minute discussion)

2:50-3:30 Plenary Discussion of major issues. Should we recommend regional prediction? What are our major conclusions? What should be the next steps? Writing responsibilities for workshop report

3:30 Workshop End