Pacific Northwest Mesoscale Model Weather Forecasts: Information

For a description of the MM5-NAM forecasts click here

For a description of our older, experimental WRF forecasts click here

For a description of our older, real-time MM5 forecasts click here

General Information: The Department of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Washington is now running the Advanced Research WRF (WRF-ARW) core of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) version 3.0.1.1 (WRF-ARW v3.0.1.1). Forecasts are run twice a day in order to produce high resolution meteorological guidance for the Pacific Northwest. This effort, supported by a consortium of local, state, and federal agencies, has several goals:


Change Log: For the latest information on our setup, please consult the Change Log for Pacific Northwest WRF/MM5 Numerical Forecasts

Model Configuration: The WRF numerical forecasts currently feature an outer grid of 36 km horizontal resolution that covers much of western North America and the northeastern Pacific; a nested grid of 12 km resolution that covers Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Utah, much of Montana and Nevada, southern British Columbia, and northern California, Nevada; and an inner 4 km resolution grid encompassing all of Washington, Oregon, and Idaho plus the western third of Montana and the extreme northern sections of California, Nevada, and Utah, and the western third of Wyoming. The regions covered by each domain, showing topography and land use categories are shown in these plots:
New version
Compatible with WRF
Old version
from TERRAIN
TerrainLand UseTerrainLand Use
36-km terrain 36-km land use 36-km terrain 36-km land use
12 km terrain 12 km land use 12 km terrain 12 km land use
4 km terrain 4 km land use 4 km terrain 4 km land use
A land use category color key is included in the links above, you may view it alone here.

A detailed description of the domain boundaries can be found in the actual geogrid.exe namelist.wps file or in the MM5 terrain.deck. Detailed land use information for each domain was derived from the 1-km USGS digital database, with some subjective modification using other data sources.

The model utilizes 38 vertical full-sigma levels see below, and is run in non-hydrostatic mode in order to limit pressure gradient force errors over the complex terrain. An upper-radiative boundary condition is used to allow gravity waves to radiate through the model top without being reflected. The following table describes the phyics options we are currently using:

Phyics and Other Options:
PhysicsComments
Radiation Until 2009012200, both CAM longwave and shortwave radiation options used with default values. From 2009012212 onward, Dudhia shortwave and RRTM longwave radiation schemes used.
Thompson MicrophysicsIncludes graupel.
Kain-Fritsch Cumulus Continuing what we began on 5 August 2004 (MM5 then) of using this on all domains.
YSU PBLYonsei University scheme (new MRF). Non-local-K scheme with explicit entrainment layer and parabolic K profile in unstable mixed layer. NOTE: the module_bl_ysu.F from version 3.0 of the WRF was backported into the version 2.2.1 WRF that was run up to and including the 2009010900 case.
Noah Land Surface Model Four layers with soil temperature and moisture, fractional snow cover, and frozen soil physics.
Here are the exact namelist.input files that are used to run the model: 36/12 km namelist.input and 4 km namelist.input (these two links are updated with each model run.). For more information on any of these options, see the WRF model chapter of the WRF User's Guide.


Initializations: Currently two model runs are performed. One utilizes initial and lateral boundary conditions for the MM5 that are generated by interpolation of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) "NAM" (formerly the ETA) model analysis and forecast fields. This MM5-NAM run only includes the 36 and 12 km domains and is described here.
The second initialization uses NCEP's GFS model (formerly known as AVN or MRF) at 1-degree lat/lon resolution for nearly all fields. The exceptions are: 1) SST is from the 1/4 degree OTIS grids, 2) surface temperature is from the NAM/ETA 221 grids (40-km grid spacing), and 3) subsurface soil temperature and moisture are also from NAM/ETA 221 grids.
Forecast: Forecasts are computed as follows:
  1. MM5-NAM: 4-processor Intex Xeon Linux box.
  2. WRF-GFS: Eight 8-processor Intel Xeon cluster running Debian Linux (Note, 6 of the 8 processors are used, since very little is gained by running with all 8. Keeping 2 available on each machine also allows for short research runs or make-up runs to be run concurrently with the real-time run with a small impact on that run).
Currently, the model is run for a 72 hour forecast period over all domains. The MM5-NAM finishes in roughly 3.0 hours of wallclock time, while the WRF-GFS finishes in roughly 5.2 hours of wallclock time.
Future Improvements: The modeling system is constantly being improved.

Full Vertical Sigma Levels

Sigma: 1.00, 0.995*, 0.99, 0.985*, 0.98, 0.97, 0.96, 0.95*, 0.94, 0.93*, 0.92, 0.91*, 0.90, 0.88, 0.86, 0.83, 0.80, 0.77, 0.74, 0.71, 0.68, 0.64, 0.60, 0.56, 0.52, 0.48, 0.44, 0.40, 0.36, 0.32, 0.28, 0.24, 0.20, 0.16, 0.12, 0.08, 0.04, 0. * = added 7/9/2001 Half-Sigma Levels
K-indexSigmaK-indexSigmaK-indexSigma
10.0220.0630.10
40.1450.1860.22
70.2680.3090.34
100.38110.42120.46
130.50140.54150.58
160.62170.66180.695
190.725200.755210.785
220.815230.845240.87
250.89260.905270.915
280.925290.935300.945
310.955320.965330.975
340.9825350.9875360.9925
370.9975


Past Domain Configurations: This table provides all the necessary information about previous domain configurations.
Domain NameCode VersionFirst ForecastLast Forecast 36 km Domain 12 km Domain 4 km Domain Terrain Setup File Full TER.PLT NCGM File
TerrainLand useLat, Lon, Elev and Domain Extents TerrainLand useLat, Lon, Elev and Domain Extents TerrainLand useLat, Lon, Elev and Domain Extents
dec093.1.12009123100present terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
apr083.0.1.1 from 2009010912
2.2.1 until 2009010900
20080415002009123012 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
may063-7-320060515122008041412 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
dec033-6-320040209122006051500 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
aug023-5-420020909122004020900 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
jun013-420010709122002090900 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
jul002-1220000731122001070900 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
dec992-1219991213002000073100 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
may992-12 and 2-719990518121999121212 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
mar982-719980318121999051800 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT
sep97??19970929121998031800 terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain land use text file terrain.deck TER.PLT

Questions and Comments: We're always interested in feedback. Please direct any questions and comments you have to David Ovens (ovens@atmos.washington.edu) or Cliff Mass (cliff@atmos.washington.edu).