Honors A&S 220A Homework 7
due Monday, Nov. 19th at beginning of class


ENSO / PDO / AO Precipitation & Temperature Impacts Assignment

Note that there are links to necessary information below. This is meant to be a very straight-forward assignment--don't overthink it!

10 points
#1) What does a typical El Nino winter look like along the west coast of North America (both temperature and precipitation)? Are there differences as you move from Mexico to Canada along the coast? How much different from normal are the conditions you note? Can you explain the temperature and precipitation changes knowing that El Nino winters have a more intense Aleutian low and a warmer coastal ocean? If applicable, note any parts of the temp/precip patterns which don't seem to "fit."

10 points
#2) What does a typical PDO look like along the west coast of North America during winter (both temperature and precipitation)? Are there differences as you move from Mexico to Alaska? How much different from normal are the conditions you note? What parts of the pattern can you explain knowing that positive (high) PDO winters have an intensified Aleutian low? Explain, briefly, what the differences are between El Nino and the PDO.

10 points
#3) What is the winter influence of the AO on temperature and precipitation across North America? Where in North America are the strongest effects of this pattern on temperature and precipitation? What effect does the AO have on the PNW (both temp and precip)? Give an explanation for both the PNW and "strongest response" areas in North America based on the sea level pressure pattern associated with it. Why is the AO not typically used as a primary climate predictor for Seattle?

5 points
#4) Give a very brief argument (i.e. a reason supported by logic) for why we typically tend to talk about the effect of these climate patterns during winter. Can you think of examples of how these climate patterns could affect the west coast during different times of the year?

Resources:

  • AO temperature/precip regressions across North America
  • CTI (an index of ENSO) regressions on Temp/Precip across North America
  • PDO temperature/precip regressions across North America
  • Other Resources: More pictures and supplemental information

  • AO temperature regressions across North America
  • AO precipitation regressions across North America
  • Regression of Sea Level Pressure on AO Index-North America
    Solid lines are higher than normal surface pressure / dashed lines are lower than normal surface pressure
  • PDO Background-Nate Mantua
  • PDO and ENSO Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies and time-series
  • PDO(+) SLP anomalies
  • PDO(+) North America Temperature Anomalies
  • PDO(+) North America Precipitation Anomalies
  • El Nino North America Temperature Anomalies
  • El Nino North America Precipitation Anomalies