ATMS 101 Winter 2003 Forecast Contest Results

Explanation of columns
Rank: standing among those submitting at least 15 forecasts
A: made 15 forecasts (6 pts)
B: in the top 40% of student forecasts (2 pts)
C: beating MRF MOS (2 pts)
D: beating consensus average of all forecasts (2pts)
E: in the top 60% of student forecasts (2 pts)
F: in the top 80% of student forecasts (1 pt)
Bonus: total bonus in contest
Points: added to grade on final exam
Rank Pseudonym Forecasts made/missed A B C D E F Bonus Points
1 fidelus 16/7 6 2 2 2 2 1 15 6.75
2 Lee 20/3 6 2 2 2 2 1 15 6.75
3 mkingjr 23/0 6 2 2 2 2 1 15 6.75
4 zep 16/7 6 2 2 2 2 1 15 6.75
MRF MOS
5 cpayment 17/6 6 2 0 2 2 1 13 5.85
6 MAX 22/1 6 2 0 2 2 1 13 5.85
7 trebabe 21/2 6 2 0 2 2 1 13 5.85
8 december81 18/5 6 2 0 2 2 1 13 5.85
9 Squeaks 16/7 6 2 0 2 2 1 13 5.85
10 Juice 15/8 6 2 0 2 2 1 13 5.85
11 MT 17/6 6 2 0 2 2 1 13 5.85
Consensus
12 Scrupio 20/3 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
13 rain 22/1 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
14 tmrosq14 17/6 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
15 mrlefty300 18/5 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
16 McWilly 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
17 JSpeidel 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
18 Steve Pool 21/2 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
19 joos 17/6 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
20 pjtiv 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
21 Penguinpete 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
22 aeb123 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
23 schuette 18/5 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
24 anniet2 17/6 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
25 Captain Janeway 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
26 whitelightning 17/6 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
27 Tarah 18/5 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
28 Star42 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
29 golfgirl 17/6 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
30 penguin 19/4 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
31 plang 20/3 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
32 wylee 17/6 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
33 AL 20/3 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
34 1337 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
35 eddywitten 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
36 Chucklebean 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
37 Noodle 20/3 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
38 JR 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
39 Lax27 21/2 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
40 flyboy 17/6 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
41 Lucky 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
42 Squatch 19/4 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
43 Villan 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
44 Duke01 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
45 Desmond Mason 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
46 Dunleavy 21/2 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
47 mich8502 20/3 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
48 Rush1981 19/4 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
49 gossipqueen 18/5 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
50 limelight 21/2 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
51 Dan 16/7 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
52 Jeff Renner 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
53 corndogg 19/4 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
54 pontiac_400 15/8 6 2 0 0 2 1 11 4.95
Top 40% cutoff
55 sfaw 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
56 Jean-Luc Picard 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
57 sunchoi 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
58 sublimewa 20/3 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
59 neoenigma2k 20/3 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
60 Burrows 18/5 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
61 AJ 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
62 uwgirl 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
63 pugzuw 19/4 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
64 pattapit 19/4 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
65 pine73 17/6 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
66 den808 15/8 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
67 RedOx 18/5 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
68 Sparky 17/6 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
69 jellybean 19/4 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
70 jna82 17/6 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
71 sfg 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
72 lyk 17/6 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
73 Sha 18/5 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
74 silliegoose 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
75 Breezy 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
76 Jackoly2 19/4 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
77 imathly 18/5 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
78 pudge 17/6 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
79 inhishands 18/5 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
80 js82 23/0 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
81 The Pet 16/7 6 0 0 0 2 1 9 4.05
Top 60% cutoff
82 snk8699 20/3 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
83 Mach 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
84 sunnidae 20/3 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
85 DGweathergirl 15/8 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
86 bkbfine 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
87 boramee 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
88 Bek 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
89 ///AMG 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
90 Stan Stachak 21/2 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
91 ytony 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
92 wreckiecrew 19/4 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
93 Frosty1983 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
94 YangFo 15/8 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
95 STUKAY 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
96 Pocasi 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
97 smile4me137 22/1 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
98 MoonCandy 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
99 Kireev 20/3 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
100 BEMF 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
101 mayday 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
102 dshakes 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
103 jambec 21/2 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
104 mle88 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
105 jpemble 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
106 Keith 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
107 NhuAi 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
108 Wappler 19/4 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 3.15
Top 80% cutoff
109 Ally 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
110 Adele 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
111 GreenSnoKone 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
112 Busybee 20/3 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
113 natalie1c 19/4 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
114 pinky 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
115 red 19/4 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
116 Milfie 19/4 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
117 t2m720 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
118 Daisy 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
119 pdiddy 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
120 SPEpc02 15/8 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
121 Dark Angel 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
122 pyrox 15/8 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
123 wow 21/2 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
124 ahorton 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
125 FlyZeroDive 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
126 Sid206 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
127 kmh15 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
128 Princess 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
129 Kyle 15/8 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
130 gamila 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
131 p2k 17/6 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
132 ajuhl 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
133 StrongBad 16/7 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
134 deodara 18/5 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 2.7
0 cjmiles 14/9 0 0
0 sexyj 14/9 0 0
0 petemull 14/9 0 0
0 jrr2 14/9 0 0
0 poirier 14/9 0 0
0 Diesel515 14/9 0 0
0 off-the-wall 14/9 0 0
0 marleyman 13/10 0 0
0 docta luvim 12/11 0 0
0 Bernie 12/11 0 0
0 Kavilac 12/11 0 0
0 Nordq 11/12 0 0
0 Steveta Pool 11/12 0 0
0 darkdrift 11/12 0 0
0 Michelle 11/12 0 0
0 Sweeet 11/12 0 0
0 kj 11/12 0 0
0 daei 10/13 0 0
0 Amy 10/13 0 0
0 pimp juice 10/13 0 0
0 JJesebella 9/14 0 0
0 bdiz 9/14 0 0
0 lampshadey 9/14 0 0
0 cjl 9/14 0 0
0 raynabanayna 8/15 0 0
0 jgbegeta 8/15 0 0
0 zinj 6/17 0 0
0 mollie 6/17 0 0
0 the j_x 5/18 0 0
0 nutcase 5/18 0 0
0 AtTheGates 5/18 0 0
0 Big Daddy 4/19 0 0
0 Abby 4/19 0 0
0 xnelio 4/19 0 0
0 FIREBALL 4/19 0 0
0 mko 4/19 0 0
0 jls15 3/20 0 0
0 thor 3/20 0 0
0 dway 3/20 0 0
0 The Lovely 2/21 0 0
0 DS 2/21 0 0
0 it's me 2/21 0 0
0 Lifer 2/21 0 0
0 kayin 2/21 0 0
0 meteo 1/22 0 0
0 stargirl 1/22 0 0
0 Hop 1/22 0 0
0 GONAVY 1/22 0 0
0 tbfsp 1/22 0 0
0 chaw 1/22 0 0